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闹了几十年独立的魁北克,突然不想脱离加拿大了?_我的网站

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A |     

据路透社报道,去年6月,美国总统特朗普对加拿大钢铁征收50%的关税,加拿大魁北克省(该省居民大多讲法语)的一家钢铁厂在不到一周的时间里损失了大约三分之一的零件订单。工厂所有者海科公司冻结了招聘,关闭了该地区的一家工厂,并裁掉了数十名员工。

B |     KYIV, Ukraine -- Russia appears to be suffering severe losses as it wages its new offensive in eastern Ukraine, amid some of the bloodiest fighting in months, according to Ukrainian officials and independent analysts.Russia has thrown thousands of troops and hundreds of tanks and armored vehicles into the offensive, which is focused mainly on the strategic city of Avdiivka and further north near the city of Kupiansk. Russian forces for roughly two weeks have been trying to encircle Avdiivka, which is one of the most heavily fortified areas of Ukraine's frontline.Ukrainian officials on Sunday claimed Russia had lost over 6,000 soldiers in a week, as well as over 400 armored vehicles and tanks. Britain's defense intelligence claimed Russian casualties have spiked by 90% since it began the offensive.ABC cannot independently verify those numbers, but numerous videos of the Russian attacks around Avdiivka released by Ukrainian units suggest Russia is taking losses on a scale not since last winter.Some of the videos show columns of Russian armor coming under withering Ukrainian fire as they try to advance, pummelled by artillery and anti-tank missiles, and running into minefields. In other videos, Russian forces can be seen being barraged by U.S.-supplied cluster munitions. Large groups of Russian infantry can be seen being struck by artillery.Open source analysts watching the videos have counted dozens of Russian vehicles destroyed and damaged.Ukraine does not publish its own casualties, but Ukrainian officials have acknowledged they are also large.So far Russian forces have made little progress, only advancing a few hundred meters, near Avdiivka, according to both Ukrainian and Russian accounts.But despite the losses, Russia is continuing its efforts to encircle Avdiivka. The Washington, D.C.-based Institute for the Study of War on Sunday assessed Russia was moving more troops up to continue the attack."Russian forces are funneling additional forces to the Avdiivka front despite ongoing challenges with frontal mechanized assaults and the failure of a renewed push on October 19-20," the ISW wrote in its daily update on the war.Ukrainian officials have said they believe the determined Russian effort to seize Avdiivka is motivated by the Kremlin's desire to claim a significant victory ahead of Russia's presidential elections next year."It appears that Russian forces are continuing to use ineffective and costly tactics in offensive efforts near Avdiivka leading to high personnel and vehicle losses, and that they have continuously done so in several waves of attacks over the past week suggests that the Russian military command is prioritizing this axis, despite continued and growing losses," the ISW wrote in an earlier assessment on Saturday.Some Russian pro-war military bloggers have criticised how the operation has been handled and the decision to attack the most heavily fortified area of Ukraine's line, given the small progress so far.Analysts, however, have warned that despite the catastrophic losses, Russia may still be able to encircle Avdiivka and that it still has sizeable reserves in the area.Vitaliy Barabash, the head of Avdiivka's Ukrainian military administration, on Monday said Russian forces were attempting to cut the only road leading to the city, which would isolate the Ukrainian forces defending it."Logistics are very difficult. Twenty two kilometers to the city are constantly under fire, both during the day and at night. It greatly complicates both evacuation and bringing in humanitarian aid. Any logistics is all through one road. Of course, the enemy is trying to cut it," Barabash said in a live interview with RFE/RL.He also said that 1,601 civilians still in Avdiivka did not want to leave.Ukraine is also still on the offensive. In the past week, an unusually large force from two elite Ukrainian Marine brigades landed on the Russian-occupied eastern bank of the Dneipr river in the Kherson region. The Ukrainian units have advanced into at least two villages there and are digging in, according to Russian military bloggers.The scale of the operation is still very unclear, but it appears Ukraine may be attempting to establish a bridgehead there that if successful could create a possibility for it to move larger forces across for a bigger attack, potentially opening a new front in its counteroffensive. For now, most analysts assess the size of the Ukrainian force operating on the eastern bank is still small.Ukrainian forces are also continuing to attack on the main axis of the counteroffensive in the southern Zaporizhzhia region and around the city of Bakhmut, reportedly making small advances.。这家工厂的困境反映了魁北克省对特朗普贸易战后果的普遍担忧,该省将于10月5日举行省选。虽然该省此前的一些经济增长放缓曾引发分离主义情绪的上升,但民调显示,这一次,对魁北克独立的支持率处于数十年来的最低水平,约为30%。

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魁北克一家钢铁厂

魁北克一家钢铁厂该地区的人们表示,特朗普对加拿大构成的威胁意味着,保护魁北克独特法国文化的最佳方式是留在加拿大——至少目前如此。特朗普威胁要让加拿大成为美国第51个州,以及他关税政策的反复无常,激发了魁北克省的爱国主义情绪。魁北克省经常威胁要脱离加拿大,并且此前就此问题举行过两次全民公投。作为加拿大唯一一个以法语为主要语言的省份,魁北克省长期以来存在着分离主义运动,该运动认为脱离加拿大独立是保护其独特文化和语言的最佳途径。魁北克省从未正式签署加拿大宪法,分离主义者认为,法语区加拿大人经常被以英语为主要语言的加拿大人所忽视。

D | 魁北克人党目前在省选民调中略微领先,若胜选将标志着该党时隔十二年重返执政地位。但分析人士指出,选民投票给魁北克人党更多是出于对执政党的失望,而非支持该党的独立纲领。尽管魁北克人党承诺,如果赢得选举,将举行第三次独立公投,但该党领袖保罗·圣皮埃尔·普拉蒙东誓言,只要特朗普还是总统,公投就不会举行,这实际上承认了魁北克独立支持率的下降。

E | 周二,普拉蒙东在X网站上发帖称,决定魁北克的政治命运“绝不能被美国政治的动荡、一位难以预测的总统的暴行或一场恐惧运动所劫持”。

F | 魁北克主权投票的推迟对自由党总理马克·卡尼来说将是少了一件烦心事。卡尼本人去年在全国大选中力挽狂澜,扭转了保守党领先的民调结果,此前他曾承诺要与特朗普进行强硬的谈判。卡尼还面临着来自石油资源丰富的阿尔伯塔省的另一场分离主义运动,该省的独立公投定于10月中旬举行。尽管保守的阿尔伯塔省蓬勃发展的独立运动与特朗普的保守主义理念相符,但魁北克省民众在抵制美国总统的关税和吞并威胁方面,大多与加拿大其他地区保持一致。

G |

魁北克人党创始人勒内・勒维克的壁画

魁北克人党创始人勒内・勒维克的壁画在加拿大魁北克省,特朗普比在加拿大其他任何地方都更不受欢迎,而魁北克省可以说是加拿大最进步的省份。

H | 根据民调机构安格斯·里德8月份的数据,只有10%的魁北克人对特朗普持好感,即使达成降低关税的协议也不太可能扭转公众舆论。“特朗普所代表的一切,正是魁北克在过去60年里为创建一个现代化、进步的社会而一直与之抗争的东西,”前总理特鲁多的魁北克顾问乔纳森·卡勒斯说道。

I | 特朗普的保守政策以及他政府将魁北克省的法语要求视为“贸易障碍”的言论,都不得人心。不过,一些魁北克分离主义者表示,即使在今天,独立仍然至关重要。魁北克省分离主义组织“蒙特利尔圣让-巴蒂斯特协会”主席玛丽-安妮·阿勒潘表示,卡尼取消一项用于资助加拿大电视节目的税收的决定将削减魁北克法语节目的资金,她以此为例,说明魁北克省为何应该独立。渥太华方面已承诺将以政府拨款取代这项税收。

J | 阿勒潘说:“加拿大没有能力捍卫魁北克的利益。魁北克必须回到谈判桌前,而要做到这一点,我们必须是一个国家。”

闹了几十年独立的魁北克,突然不想脱离加拿大了?

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Published on:01:09:49


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